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Special Report

Turkey's Monetary Demagoguery

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

The Turkish central bank has almost exhausted its foreign exchange reserve. It has been printing money to keep interest rates lower, and sustain the credit boom in the economy. Such policies are unsustainable and the currency will plunge anew. Currency depreciation will push up market-based interest rates. Stay short/underweight Turkish risk assets. A new trade: Short 2-year local currency government bonds.

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BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

Critical input for global and EM investors as it provides global macro investment themes as well as recommendations for EM equities, currencies, and fixed income.  

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