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Hormuz: The Ripple Effects

by Roukaya Ibrahim, Chief Commodity Strategist  

We outline a framework for the Iran war's impact on the commodity outlook in the event of a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption. We break it down into three phases: (1) the Initial Shockwave, (2) the Ripple Effects, and (3) the Backwash. The first phase has largely passed, and we are now in the Ripple Effects phase.

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BCA Research | Commodity & Energy Strategy

Top-down global-macro framework with bottom-up fundamental analysis of major commodities.

 

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