Macro Investment Insights & Market Commentary

Upcoming Webcast

Join us for a Webcast introducing BCA Intelligence, our new platform for bringing BCA’s current insight and historical investment thinking into the AI assistants, analytics platforms, and internal systems your team uses.

We’ll discuss:

What BCA Intelligence is, and how it works
Why searchable, citation-backed macro insight matters
How it can support existing research and investment workflows
Practical use cases that show BCA Intelligence in action

Wednesday, September 30
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

Speakers:

Kurt Viehl
Chief Revenue Officer

Shannon Lal
Chief Technology Officer

Mathieu Savary
Head of Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies

Katia Shtrevenshy
Strategist, Geopolitics

We hope you can join us.

P.S. Can’t join us live? Register to receive the recording.

Register

Report

Crude: Peak Strain, For Now

Recent oil market developments expose the limits of the adjustment mechanisms that have cushioned the global market since the Hormuz closure began. Fortunately, Hormuz dark transits have become the dominant shock absorber in recent months, and rising flows should help mitigate the latest supply disr...

Report

The Start Of A New Tightening Cycle

The Fed is unanimous in expecting a mild tightening cycle of no more than 75 bps, but that outcome is contingent on a rapid drop in core inflation in 2027. ...

Report

Technology, Defense, And A Copper Entry Point

In this screener report, we explore opportunities in duration-resilient large-cap Technology, emerging defense technology, and a conditional entry point into copper....

Report

Inflation Reconsidered: Four Takes On The Market’s Real Fault Line

Inflation, not valuation, is the real threat to this bull market. This four-report series lays out where BCA's strategists agree, where they don't, and what to watch for next....

Report

Chief Economist’s View: Will Worries About AI Doom End the AI Boom?

Concerns by the major AI companies that they are locked into a financially unsustainable arms race for AI dominance are likely playing as much a role in their newfound “go slow” approach as concerns over AI doom....

Report

The Wolf That Cried “Wolf!” – Don’t Fall For AI Alarmism

The world has descended into a full blown Doomer panic since the 27-year-old Anthropic engineer quit over the threat that AI would cause human extinction. Now-famous Jacob Coxon posted that “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade. This is not a ma...

Report

Pirates Get Paid: Limited Upside To Crude From Here

The situation in the Middle East is becoming complicated. Over the past week, several events raise the odds that Brent prices could burst through their 2026 high of $126 per barrel....

Report

The Great Glow Up: Betting On The Beauty Economy

The rise of remote work, online dating, and other demographic changes are increasing the demand for aesthetics. GLP-1s provide an effective and inexpensive cure for obesity, and their secondary effect “Ozempic face” has structurally altered the demand for aesthetic procedures and skincare. Long GLP-...

Report

Bessent Can't Have It All

Scott Bessent’s attempts to suppress yields while financing large twin deficits risk crashing foreign inflows, the dollar, US bonds, and equities. Without a major equity selloff or large-scale commercial bank purchases of Treasurys, the bond selloff will persist – producing a major equity drawdown a...