Skip to main content
Skip to main content

Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
Peter_Marko_Jeremie (2).png
Upcoming Webcast
The Big Debate on Europe: Boom or Doom?

Please join BCA Chief Economist Peter Berezin, Chief Investment Strategist & Head of GeoMacro, Marko Papic, and Chief Europe Strategist, Jeremie Peloso, for a Webcast: The Big Debate on Europe: Boom or Doom?

Monday, November 16
10:30 AM EST | 3:30 PM GMT | 4:30 PM CET

Peter, Marko, and Jeremie will discuss/debate:

  • Is Europe finally changing?
  • Cheap, or cheap for a reason?
  • Can investment overcome demographics and weak productivity?
  • Are the equity themes big enough to move the market?
  • Does political pressure produce reform or paralysis?
  • Can European stocks thrive even if Europe struggles?
Register
bca.geom_ar_2026_11_03_cms.png
Report
Capitulation... You On Stocks Or Trump On Iran
October has been a bad month for equities — particularly AI/tech ones — and a great month for oil. We do not think that the AI supercycle is ending, it has more room to go. Token price decline is a sign of a price war between LLMs, not a decline in demand. In fact, that price war is what is driving ...
Iran US Election
4 hours ago
bca.geom_si_2026_11_03_cover.png
Report
Democratic Victory Not A Market Risk
Democrats look to be clinching a Senate victory in the final day of the campaign, but Iran, not the Senate, poses the real risk....
US Elections
6 hours ago
bca.ficc_str_2026_11_03_cms.png
Report
After The Midterms: Commodity Divergences Have Further To Run
Commodities have diverged sharply in recent months. We explain why energy prices are likely to stay elevated after the US midterms, why gold’s slide should prove limited, and how we are positioning for the months ahead....
Energy Gold
11 hours ago
bca.ficc_si_2026_11_02_cms.png
Report
Bet On Higher US Treasury Yields Into Early 2027
US Treasury yields have fallen below our fair value estimate as investors rotated out of AI equities and into fixed income. We lay out why near-term inflation risks argue for a rebound, and the tactical trades we initiate to position for it....
US Gov Sovereigns/Treasurys
02 Nov 2026
bca.eqty_cb_2026_11_02_s1_cms.png
Report
Sector Chartpack: AI Stumbles, The Index Holds
October saw a 0.9% decline in the S&P 500, dragged lower by Communication Services (-15.1%) and Information Technology (-6.8%). All other sectors delivered positive returns, led by traditional defensives – Health Care (+9.9%), Utilities (+10.2%), Consumer Staples (+11.6%) – and Energy (+14.0%). Alth...
Sectors AI
02 Nov 2026
bca.geom_si_2026_11_02_cfc.png
Report
Israel: An Upside Risk To Oil
Another Netanyahu-led government would raise the risk of Israeli escalation and a major oil supply shock, while an opposition victory would reduce, but not eliminate, this risk due to its greater coordination with and deference to the US....
Middle East Oil
02 Nov 2026
bca.core_str_2026_11_02_cx.png
Report
New Ideas From The Road
Today's report examines several of the most interesting ideas we've heard over two weeks of meetings and calls with investors....
AI Economy
02 Nov 2026
bca.pcon_mr_2026_11_02_cms.png
Report
Monthly TAA: AI, Rates, Energy – Are We At The Peak?
Despite October’s AI selloff, indices remain resilient thanks to historically high dispersion. We remain bullish, but with barbells across the portfolio. Hedge equity with equity: Overweight Technology and Healthcare. Remain overweight high yield. Downgrade linkers and upgrade nominal bonds. Upgrade...
AI and Markets Inflation
02 Nov 2026
bca.core_mq_2026_10_30_cfc.png
Report
MacroQuant Model Update: Show Me The Money
MacroQuant recommends a slight underweight to equities and an overweight to bonds and cash. The model is bullish on the US dollar, negative on gold, very negative on copper, and neutral on oil....
BCA Indicators/Model Asset Allocation
30 Oct 2026