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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Upcoming Webcast

Join us for a Webcast introducing BCA Intelligence, our new platform for bringing BCA’s current insight and historical investment thinking into the AI assistants, analytics platforms, and internal systems your team uses. 

We’ll discuss: 

  • What BCA Intelligence is, and how it works 
  • Why searchable, citation-backed macro insight matters 
  • How it can support existing research and investment workflows 
  • Practical use cases that show BCA Intelligence in action 

Wednesday, September 30 
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST 

Speakers: 

Kurt Viehl 
Chief Revenue Officer 

Shannon Lal 
Chief Technology Officer 

Mathieu Savary 
Head of Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies 

Katia Shtrevenshy 
Strategist, Geopolitics   

We hope you can join us. 

P.S. Can’t join us live? Register to receive the recording. 

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Report
Scott Bessent’s attempts to suppress yields while financing large twin deficits risk crashing foreign inflows, the dollar, US bonds, and equities. Without a major equity selloff or large-scale commercial bank purchases of Treasurys, the bond selloff will persist – producing a major equity drawdown a...
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Report
We remain constructive on US equities, but higher yields, slower EPS growth and heavy IPO issuance remain significant risks to valuations, leaving the path to our year-end target increasingly dependent on earnings. Tactically, there has already been a significant, but benign, compression in multiple...
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Report
August’s 0.3% increase in core CPI breaks inflation’s 3-month downtrend and is likely hot enough for the Fed to hike rates when it meets next week....
Read more
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Report
The ECB is winning, and almost nobody's pricing it in. A flatter Phillips curve, a shrinking term premium, a euro built to shrug off France, credibility is the trade....
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Report
Thursday's sharp pullback in the COMEX copper price from an all-time high underscores a key risk to the red metal's resilience. An eventual resolution of US copper tariff uncertainty would likely trigger a price relapse. That drawdown, however, would offer an attractive opportunity to increase struc...
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Report
Foreign exchange markets are shaped by a wide range of macro influences. The sheer breadth of relevant information makes systematically assessing where a currency stands at any point in time a challenging analytical task. We introduce an FX scorecard that condenses the full range of data into nine t...
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Webcast Replay

In this Webcast, Peter, Robert and Ryan discussed

  • Drivers of the recent bond selloff and whether it presents a buying opportunity for fixed income investors 
  • Topical issues pertaining to bonds, including: 
    • What to expect from a Kevin Warsh-led Fed
    • The odds of a capex bust
    • The impact of AI on interest rates
    • The risk of a fiscal crisis in the US and elsewhere
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Report
It is that time of year again for our annual Private Equity & Sports report. This year, we examine private capital's entry into college sports. Athletic departments generate significant revenue, but margins are under pressure. Colleges still hold untapped assets that private partners will help m...
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Report
President Trump is raising tariffs again, now through 2027 – and more countries will retaliate this time. While markets can climb over “Liberation Day 2.0,” investors should be wary of today's aggressive policies engendering drastic policy change in 2028....
Read more