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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Upcoming Webcast

Please join Chief Geopolitical Strategist, Matt Gertken and Chief Commodities Strategist, Roukaya Ibrahim, for a Webcast.

Wednesday, July 29
11:00 AM AEST

 Matt and Roukaya will discuss: 

  • The geopolitical backdrop remains tricky as the US enters election season amid global struggles.
  • The US-China tariff truce is holding for now. But will high-tech restrictions over AI start to rise?
  • The mid-August deadline for the US and Iran to forge a real ceasefire is coming soon. Will they agree?
  • What happens after the midterm election? Will Trump escalate both the trade war and Iran war?
  • Ceasefire violations pose threats to commodity supply. What is the status of oil supply and demand?
  • What other factors will drive oil and commodity prices through the end of the year?  Is gold a buy?
  • What other geopolitical and commodity trends will impact Australia and the world in the coming months and years?
Geopolitical Strategy by Matt Gertken & Roukaya Ibrahim
28 Jul 2026
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Upcoming Webcast

Please join Portfolio Construction Heads, Juan Correa and Brian Payne for their Quarterly Outlook Webcast.

Wednesday, July 22
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

In this Webcast, Juan and Brian will discuss why investors:

  1. Should Overweight Private Equity
  2. Should rotate out of momentum stocks into quality and hyperscalers
  3. Should downgrade Late-Stage Venture Capital

They will also discuss their outlook on the macro economy, fixed income, rates, real estate, infrastructure and liquid alternatives

Global Asset Allocation by Juan Correa & Brian Payne
22 Jul 2026
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Upcoming Webcast

Please join Strategists, Mathieu Savary, with Ryan Swift, Roukaya Ibrahim, Robert Timper, and Artem Sakhbiev, for the BCA's Q3 FICC (Fixed Income, Commodities & Currencies) Outlook Webcast.

Tuesday, July 14
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

Where they will discuss our take on the macro forces driving global fixed income, currencies, and commodities into year-end.

Topics to be discussed:

  • US rates under a Warsh-led Fed,
  • Where G10 central banks diverge from the Fed,
  • The best opportunities we see across global bond markets,
  • The dollar's path through year-end, and which currencies are set to win or lose most,
  • Whether the US-Iran de-escalation holds, and the read-through for oil and the broader commodity complex.
Global Fixed Income Strategy by Ryan Swift & Mathieu Savary & Robert Timper & Roukaya Ibrahim & Artem Sakhbiev
14 Jul 2026
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Insight
Our EM strategists view Korea’s equity tantrum as a warning for global risk assets and recommend taking profits and downgrading Korean stocks. Korea has become the most extreme expression of the global equity rally, driven by semiconductor momentum, high-beta exposure, and rampant retail speculation...
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Insight
Our US Equity strategists are raising their 2026 S&P 500 target to 8100 from 7700. The increase is driven by a higher EPS forecast as the economy re-accelerates and earnings broaden beyond a narrow set of hyperscalers. The upgrade reflects a stronger-than-expected first quarter and an improving ...
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Insight
Our Geopolitical strategists see the DRC Ebola outbreak as a low-probability but high-consequence supply-chain risk. The country holds a critical position in global copper and, especially, cobalt production. Our colleagues expect the outbreak to stay contained and not morph into a global pandemic, b...
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Insight
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh wants to make Fed-watching great again. The Warsh Fed will speak less and guide less. There is, however, an important nuance to the communication changes so far. While explicit guidance was removed, some implicit guidance remains, as inflation was prioritized over employmen...
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Insight
The USD has moved sideways this year, but its behavior has become more defensive since the Iran war began. After fears of a USD “exodus” last year, the dollar has instead acted as a safe-haven during the Iran war. The DXY’s correlation with implied volatility has also increased since the start of th...
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Insight
Mixed labor and inflation data should create a window for the Warsh Fed to keep rates on hold. We recently highlighted an important nuance to the communication changes so far: explicit guidance is removed, yet implicit guidance remains. The Warsh Fed will also aim to take more guidance from markets....
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Webcast Replay

In this webcast, we walked through what worked, what surprised us, and how the model has evolved as the tournament unfolded. 

What we’ll cover: 

  • How did our model perform in the group stage? 
  • What lessons did we learn from the tournament so far? 
  • What does our model say about the knockout rounds? 
BCA Special Reports by Robert Timper & Artem Sakhbiev
29 Jun 2026