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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Report
GBP offers attractive carry today, but the market’s aggressive rate hike pricing is likely to turn into a headwind within 12 months. Our latest Currency Chartpack examines the valuation, growth, rate, and policy drivers of the pound, showing why the long-term outlook is less rosy than near-term data...
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Markets expect further BoC tightening, but Canada’s economic backdrop casts doubt on how far rates can rise. We assess to what extent inflation, the labor market, and housing will limit the hiking cycle, and explore the implications for Canadian bonds and the CAD....
2 hours ago
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Webcast Replay

With US debt exceeding 120% of GDP and interest costs among the highest in the developed world, can investors still rely on Treasurys to hedge the next bear market?

In this webcast, Juan and Ryan answered this question and others such as:

  • Who controls the long end of the curve in a downturn: the central bank or the bond vigilantes?
  • What role do the dollar and inflation play?
  • What can the central bank do if the Fed cuts rates and the long end does not fall?
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The UK faces many challenges but secessionism can be contained....
22 hours ago
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The Fed will hike rates at a pace of 25 bps per quarter until either falling inflation or tighter financial conditions cause it to stop....
23 hours ago
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After a sharp five-year correction, China's top-tier housing markets will likely bottom out late next year. The rest of the country, however, will keep struggling with oversupply....
28 Oct 2026
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Given that the economy’s productive capacity is limited, government stimulus will lift nominal growth but do little to increase real output growth. The upshot will be rising inflation and wider twin deficits. This is bearish for the currency, bonds, and stocks....
28 Oct 2026
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Crude has led the latest rally, leaving refined product prices behind and crack spreads narrower. We explain why the spread compression is unlikely to continue and why product prices will follow crude....
27 Oct 2026
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The Total Portfolio Approach stumbles really on one thing: the team. Everyone says it, but nobody has prescribed the fix. We provide three logistical principles that close the gap. And they work for SAA investors too....
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Brazil’s elections have turned into a game of roulette for investors. Bulls and bears were each wrong-footed between the first and second rounds of elections. We are downgrading Brazilian equities, local bonds, and sovereign credit to underweight within their respective EM portfolios....
26 Oct 2026