Strategic Asset Allocation
Build and defend long-term allocations with forward-looking assumptions, scenario analysis, and an independent macro framework.
2026 Public Market Capital Market Assumptions: Rising Yields Lift All Boats
We estimate that a US 60/40 portfolio will return 6.9% over the next 10-to-15 years. In this update, we include hedging costs projections and revamp our scenario analysis to incorporate hypothetical o…
The Rise Of Dispersion And The Structural Outlook For Alpha
For almost two decades, beta was the only game in town and alpha a loser's game. This era is ending, and we lay out why a more multipolar, dirigiste, and AI-disrupted world is pushing dispersion struc…
Bull/Bear Debate: Buy Dips Or Sell Strength In 2H2026?
BCA's bull/bear debate webcast, held on July 13, 2026 (replay here) and moderated by Chief Investment Strategist Marko Papic, pitted Peter Berezin and Arthur Budaghyan on the bearish side against Juan…
The All-Defense Chartpack: A Review of Safe Havens And Defensive Strategies
How should I hedge my portfolio for the next bear market? This is a question many of our clients face, and one that investors too often answer on the basis of intuition or narrative. The All-Defense C…
The Benefits Of Geopolitical Promiscuity
We have long argued, on a case-by-case basis, that countries willing to play the superpowers against each other win in a multipolar world. The logic is intuitive, and in this report, we measure it sys…
Gold As A Strategic Asset: Liquidity, Risk, And Institutional Practice
We have received several questions from clients regarding practical issues surrounding strategic positions on gold. We find that gold is liquid and relatively inexpensive to trade while being a reliab…