Geopolitical Risks & Opportunities
Translate fast-moving political and geopolitical developments into probability-weighted market risks, opportunities, and positioning implications.
Woke 2.0 Can (And Will) Win In 2028
Our colleague Matt Gertken has penned a sober analysis on the midterms, calling for a Democratic Party sweep in 2026. It is a measured, data-driven, analysis that we encourage you to read.This quick I…
Risks To The Epic Rally In Defense Stocks
US aerospace and defense stocks still have a structural tailwind from geopolitics, but face rising cyclical challenges from macro and market fundamentals, as well as eventual Iran and Ukraine ceasefir…
Oh America: Why Trade War Is Good For Canada
Canada may welcome a trade skirmish with the US. It has ample fiscal room with which to retaliate and its domestic political calculus – with bubbling risk of secession – means that fighting an externa…
Socialism Won’t Flop In The Midterms
Left-wing populism will likely prevail within the Democratic Party and inspire large tax hikes in 2029. But the US does not face a socialist takeover.
Here, There, and Everywhere Report - August 2026
We remain tactically bullish due to the combination of geopolitical risks in the Middle East easing and the ramping up of the AI boom. In this month’s chartpack, we articulate the reasoning behind bot…
Russian Provocations Will Rattle Markets
The fragile balance in the Ukraine war has broken – the conflict can escalate and take investors who are focused on Iran by surprise.
