GeoMacro (macro-geopolitical research)
Turn geopolitical uncertainty into market conviction.
Ongoing geopolitical research from a dedicated strategist team, built on a constraints-based framework, so you can price political risk and position ahead of consensus.
The GeoMacro Edge
From political reality to portfolio positioning.
A proprietary geopolitical framework
Move beyond political commentary.
Structured scenarios grounded in analysis
Replace uncertainty with probability-weighted conviction.
From mispricing to positioning
Identify opportunities before consensus catches up.
See It For Yourself
Latest research from GeoMacro.
Latest research from GeoMacro.
A sample of recent GeoMacro reports, refreshed as our strategists publish.
The Framework In Practice
Hear the framework in the strategists' own words.
Marko Papic and Matt Gertken explain how they assess political constraints and what their conclusions mean for portfolio positioning.
The point of GeoMacro.
Marko Papic, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of GeoMacro, on separating political noise from what constraints actually allow.
Reading the geopolitical cycle.
Matt Gertken, Head of GeoMacro, on turning scenarios and timelines into positioning across markets.
Who It's For
Built for investors and allocators who can no longer ignore politics.
Asset managers
Multi-asset shops positioning across regions.
Hedge funds & multi-strategy
Investors trading the inflection points.
Allocators, asset owners & family offices
Long-horizon allocators navigating multipolarity.
WHAT YOU RECEIVE
Everything in GeoMacro.
Everything in GeoMacro.
- Probability-weighted scenarios and market implications
- Geopolitical risk and mispricing analysis
- Investment conclusions drawn from geopolitical developments
- Actionable positioning guidance across markets
- Timely insight on market-moving political events
- Direct access to GeoMacro strategists
What Success Looks Like
Act early, and back it up later.
Act early, and back it up later.
See it sooner.
Spot where political reality and market prices have drifted apart, while there is still time to act on it.
Put it to work.
Carry each call through to a concrete view on what to own, what to fund it with, and what to hedge.
Act with conviction.
Assess potential trades using explicit probabilities, timelines, and market implications.
Defend it in the room.
Explain the reasoning to an investment committee, a board, or a client without falling back on opinion.
The team behind GeoMacro.
Where GeoMacro fits.
GeoMacro is the geopolitical lens on a connected research suite. Each platform adds depth by mandate, all built on the same independent macro framework.
The daily macro briefing that cuts through the noise.
BCA's flagship macro and investment strategy platform.
Evaluate public and private markets; defend allocation decisions.
Price geopolitical risk and position ahead of consensus.
One macro framework for rates, FX, credit, and commodities.
Macro, fundamental, and quantitative insight into equity views.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
GeoMacro is BCA's macro-geopolitical research platform. A dedicated strategist team publishes ongoing reports, scenarios, and positioning views that translate politics, policy, and geopolitics into market implications, so you get continuously updated analysis rather than a one-time framework or a raw data feed.
The constraints-based framework analyzes what political actors can realistically do, given the economic, institutional, and political limits they face, rather than what they say they want to do. It is the method BCA's strategists apply to separate market-moving signal from political noise.
GeoMacro is the geopolitical lens of BCA's platform suite, focused on how politics, elections, conflict, and trade policy move markets. The other platforms cover their own mandates, such as core macro strategy or fixed income, and all six are built on the same independent research framework.
GeoMacro is built to be actionable. Each call pairs probability-weighted scenarios, likelihoods, and timelines with explicit positioning implications across asset classes, regions, sectors, and themes, so you can size and defend a position rather than act on a headline or an opinion.
GeoMacro is built for institutional investors and allocators whose positioning is exposed to political risk: asset managers positioning across regions, hedge funds trading catalysts and inflection points, and asset owners and family offices making long-horizon allocation decisions in a multipolar world.
Macro Conditions Don't Wait. Neither Should You.
Partner with the research team trusted by the world's largest institutional investors.