Macro Investment Insights & Market Commentary

The rally in Colombia’s financial markets has a short shelf life. The election will bring a right-wing government, but it cannot fix inflation, fiscal arithmetic, or balance-of-payments vulnerabilities. Use the near-term rally to downgrade Colombian fixed income and equities....

Latin America Colombia

02 Jun 2026

Webcast Replay

Strait Talk

Please join Chief Strategists, Matt Gertken, Roukaya Ibrahim and Robert Timper for a Strait Talk Webcast.

Tuesday, June 2
11:00 AM EDT | 4:00 PM BST | 5:00 PM CEST

Matt, Roukaya, and Robert will discuss:

How the US and Iran will continue to negotiate even as they exchange military strikes.
How a ceasefire through June and July may only partially restart shipping, but could delay inventory drawdowns in oil markets.
How the outlook for the oil price impacts central bank policy and what this means for global bond yields.
How gold should respond going forward, after a period of decline despite geopolitical crisis.

Watch Now

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Copper: A Bumpy Road Ahead

Copper prices are surging again after a brief pullback in the first quarter. What is driving the renewed strength, and can it persist?...

Copper Base Metals & Iron Ore

02 Jun 2026

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Sector Chartpack: Free Cash Flow Gives Way To Capex

The US economy is moving back toward Expansion, supported by strong investment, improving earnings, and record margins. We are taking profits on our tactical Software long after achieving our target and rotating into Materials, where commodity strength and earnings momentum continue to support the s...

Equities Software and Services

01 Jun 2026

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The Dollar's Missing War Premium

The dollar's muted response to the Iran conflict has led many to question its safe-haven appeal. We argue the opposite – the dollar's defensive properties have returned, while improving growth and rate dynamics should underpin further USD strength in the months ahead....

US Dollar Iran

01 Jun 2026

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Monthly TAA: Monetization – The Next Frontier Of The AI Bull Market

So far most of the value in the AI supply chain has been captured by hardware companies. However, as model providers shift to usage-based pricing, value will begin to accrue to models and applications. Communications Services and Software should benefit from this shift. This broadening of the AI sto...

AI and Markets Asset Allocation

01 Jun 2026

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China Feels The Strait Squeeze

Oil shocks hit economies with a lag. China will feel the delayed pain of surging oil prices, pushing Beijing toward infrastructure spending as its main tool to prop up growth....

China Iran

01 Jun 2026

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MacroQuant Model Update: The Ducks Are Quacking

MacroQuant recommends a slight underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, is very positive on the US dollar, downgrades gold to underweight, upgrades copper to overweight, and remains very bullish on oil....

BCA Indicators/Model Financial Markets

29 May 2026

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Markets In Context: The BCA Chartbook of Economic & Financial History

Every market cycle belongs to a longer history. The charts in the BCA Chartbook of Economic & Financial History trace the forces that have shaped economies, markets, and investment regimes across decades. That long view has guided BCA’s work since 1949....

29 May 2026

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Earnings Bubbles Are Still Bubbles

The AI bubble is a different type of bubble. It is primarily an earnings bubble rather than a valuation bubble. Like all bubbles, the AI bubble will burst. For now, however, our AI demand indicators do not suggest that this is imminent....

Bubbles AI and Markets

28 May 2026