Macro Investment Insights & Market Commentary

Hungary’s growth outlook has improved as the election of a new government will likely unlock significant EU funds for the country. Currency traders should go long the Hungarian forint / short US dollar....

Hungary Central Europe

17 Apr 2026

Webcast Replay

Anatomy Of An Oil Shock

Juan discussed:

What are the consequences of the current oil shock to the global economy?
How will policy makers respond to this shock?
What indicators should investors be looking for a resolution?
What indicators should investors look for to get more positive on equities?
What are the long term consequences of the war?

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Report

How Much Of A Threat Is Inflation?

We do not expect the oil shock to have a lasting effect on inflation. Looking further out, a variety of structural forces will influence inflation, including fiscal policy, globalization, demographics, and AI....

Inflation Economy

16 Apr 2026

Report

Returning To A Low Vol World

The rates market is moving back into a low vol regime, but with yields at a higher level. This argues for maximizing carry across the Treasury curve....

US Gov Sovereigns/Treasurys

16 Apr 2026

Report

The Mystery Of Inflation Expectations, Finally Solved

In this Special Report, we describe how inflation expectations are formed. We then demonstrate that steady state inflation expectations have un-anchored in the UK, are un-anchoring in Japan, and are at high risk of un-anchoring in the US. And we conclude with some implications for bond markets....

Inflation Fixed Income

16 Apr 2026

Webcast Replay

地缘政治与美国政治二季度展望

BCA美国政治与地缘政治副主编马语书的中文网络直播:《地缘政治与美国政治二季度展望》。

伊朗冲突接下来将如何演变？当前的暂时停火能持续多久？
特朗普的约束与承受阈值在哪里？
中期选举将如何影响美国的外交政策决策？
中东的地缘政治紧张局势是否可能进一步扩散？对其他地区有何影响？
持续的地缘政治风险和政策不确定性，对投资有何启示？

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Report

Are Betting Markets Mispricing US Senate Odds?

Markets may be underpricing a bifurcated political outcome. Unless the Iran deescalation succeeds, the delayed economic fallout from the energy shock could materially worsen Republican prospects and raise the probability of a Democratic Senate victory....

Iran US Election

15 Apr 2026

Report

Nuclear, Energy, and AI Productivity Plays

In this screener report, we explore opportunities in nuclear theme, geopolitical hedge, and winners from AI productivity boom....

Equities Geopolitics

14 Apr 2026

Report

Here, There, and Everywhere Report - April 2026

In this chartpack, we present the logic behind our sanguine view and why we think that oil has peaked. We also elucidate our three main scenarios from here on out. ...

14 Apr 2026

Report

Peter Berezin’s Thought Of The Day: The Main Reason The Oil Shock Has Not Caused Stocks to Crash

The main reason the oil shock has not caused stocks to crash is that investors do not expect the shock to last very long....

14 Apr 2026