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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Report
The equity bull market is getting long in the tooth. Bonds should perform well once economic growth begins to slow. The dollar will strengthen over the coming months before resuming its downtrend. While crude has likely found a near-term floor, we favor metals over energy in the long run....
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Report
We discuss what recommendations to expect from the Fed’s balance sheet task force. We conclude that any future balance sheet consolidation will be smaller than many anticipate....
26 Jun 2026
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Report
Section I maps how the broad distribution of wealth gains is supporting US consumption. Section II examines how countries can meet swelling electricity demand. The winners will find paths to build the infrastructure needed to power the high-tech future....
25 Jun 2026
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Report
China holds a structural advantage in this "Age of Electricity" by operating the world's largest electricity system. However, this advantage has inherent limits, and the US remains competitive despite its challenges....
25 Jun 2026
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Report
The dollar has had a strong run but its key supports from Fed repricing, positioning, and terms of trade are starting to fade. We close our tactical long USD positions and turn to short USD/JPY, where intervention risk makes yen shorts look increasingly dangerous....
25 Jun 2026
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Webcast Replay

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior VP, Sales

The US economy is back in Expansion, with growth positive and improving, and US equities continue to climb on the back of a firming cycle and AI-related drivers. Fundamentals still look firm: earnings expectations are rising, margins are expanding, and corporate commentary points to durable demand. But sticky inflation, higher rates, tighter financial conditions, and a coming wave of monster IPOs raise the bar for valuations.

Key topics discussed:

  • Expansion extends: what the cyclical indicators are signaling now
  • Capex, cash flow, AI: the boom/bubble debate, and why free cash flow matters
  • Beyond tech: where AI demand and infrastructure needs are showing up next
  • Earnings and margins: how much support is still coming from fundamentals
  • Rates and valuations: why this may be the real constraint
  • IPO supply: what 40 years of data suggests about forward returns
  • Tactically, oil price relief is a reason for cyclical exposures and laggards to get a look: Long Materials, Long Consumer Cyclicals

 

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Report
Korea’s recent equity market tantrum is a warning signal for global risk assets. We are booking profits on the long Asian semiconductor stocks / short US hyperscalers trade and downgrading Korea from overweight to neutral in an EM equity portfolio....
24 Jun 2026
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Webcast Replay

Hosted By: Noah Weisberger, Chief US Equity Strategist

Moderated By: Jason Glazer, Senior VP, Sales

Key Topics Discussed:

  • A 2H2026 update of our outlook: Fundamentals vs. fears
  • What are our baskets telling us: Rotation not regime break
  • Growth ascendant: Inflation fears contained
  • Tactically long consumer (on the back of oil price relief)
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Report
AI dominates markets, but concentration is risk. Real Estate is the diversifier. It outperformed during the Dot-Com bust and will do so again if the AI trade unwinds. Even Office, the sector arguably most exposed to AI disruption, will prove more resilient than bears expect....
24 Jun 2026
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Report
Stay overweight gilts despite renewed political turmoil in the UK....
23 Jun 2026