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Strategy Report

A Soft Landing Redux

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

The combined US credit impulse and fiscal thrust indicator will likely relapse in 2024, heralding growth weakness. Stalling US sales volume and falling inflation, combined with sticky labor costs, will herald a non-trivial profit margin compression. The recent increase in Asian exports will likely prove to be a mid-cycle improvement rather than a cyclical recovery.

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BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

Critical input for global and EM investors as it provides global macro investment themes as well as recommendations for EM equities, currencies, and fixed income.  

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