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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
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Report
MacroQuant Model Update: Elevator Up
MacroQuant recommends an underweight position in equities, favors a below-benchmark duration stance in fixed-income portfolios, is neutral-to-slightly positive on the US dollar, remains neutral on gold, upgrades copper to neutral, and is very bullish on oil....
BCA Indicators/Model Financial Markets
30 Apr 2026
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Report
Iran: Here We Go Again
The Iran war is likely to re-escalate later this year even if shipping somehow resumes in the very near term — and yet an early reopening is looking less likely....
Iran War/Conflict
30 Apr 2026
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Report
Unparalleled Divergences
Global trade has held up despite US non-AI import volumes contracting by 25% over the past 12 months. The strength in global trade has concentrated in two areas: (1) imports of AI-related hardware and (2) developing countries’ imports, especially from China. Will these continue?...
Economic Growth Equities
30 Apr 2026
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Webcast Replay
Agentic AI Vs. Commodity Shock. Let The Battle Commence

Please join Dhaval Joshi, Chief Strategist of the Counterpoint service, for a Webcast on:

Thursday, April 30
10:30 AM EDT | 3:30 PM BST | 4:30 PM CEST

In this Webcast, Dhaval will explore the interplay between two of the biggest macro drivers right now: Agentic AI; and the global commodity shock.

The discussion will include:

  1. Can agentic AI extend the tech capex cycle, and who are the winners and losers.
  2. Can agentic AI boost productivity growth.
  3. Is the oil shock inflationary, recessionary, or both.
  4. How does the oil shock’s impact vary by major economy.
  5. What are the investment conclusions.

If viewing in the BCA App, the live webcast can be viewed here.

Watch Now
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Report
Should He Stay Or Should He Go?
FOMC participants are coalescing around the idea that the funds rate will stay on hold for some time, an outcome that is now well priced in the bond market and that will not materially change under a new Fed Chair....
US Inflation/Deflation
29 Apr 2026
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Report
The Stage Is Set For Further BoJ Hikes
The BoJ held rates overnight, but the direction of travel hasn’t changed. We discuss how stronger wages, rising inflation, and a weak yen point to further tightening ahead....
Japan Monetary Policy
28 Apr 2026
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Report
Alpha Opportunities: High, Stable, And AI-Driven Margins
Based on our previous work on margins, three aspects of margins may matter to investors: their level, their variability, and their likely trend. We add two margin-themed baskets: a stock-level High & Stable vs. Low & Volatile basket and an industry-level AI-Supported vs. AI-Insulated basket....
Equities Factors
28 Apr 2026
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Report
Alpha Opportunities: High, Stable, And AI-Driven Margins
Based on our previous work on margins, three aspects of margins may matter to investors: their level, their variability, and their likely trend. We add two margin-themed baskets: a stock-level High & Stable vs. Low & Volatile basket and an industry-level AI-Supported vs. AI-Insulated basket....
Equities Factors
27 Apr 2026
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Insight
USD: The Big Transition
Our DM ex. US and GeoMacro strategists argue the dollar remains dominant but no longer holds a monopoly on reserve functions. The global monetary order is transitioning away from dollar dominance toward a regime with multiple reserve anchors. The dollar’s three core roles (international settlement, ...
27 Apr 2026
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Insight
An Uneven Inflation Shock
The April flash PMIs show that the global energy shock is feeding through unevenly, with sharper price pressures outside the US. Longer delivery times were widespread across developed markets, and input prices rose. One of our most timely tools for tracking inflation is our price pressure index, whi...
27 Apr 2026