2023 Key Views: ‘Chimerica’ In Trouble
Both the US and China have structural imbalances that need correcting. The former has a structurally imbalanced labour market in which demand far outstrips supply. The latter has a massively overvalued housing market. The concurrent correction of these two structural imbalances in the world’s two largest economies will necessitate a sharp slowdown in global growth, and leads to several investment conclusions.
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A global macro strategy which uniquely synthesizes macroeconomics with psychology, behavioural finance, non-linear systems, complexity, and fractal analysis.
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