Copper + Metals Capex Growth Lags Oil + Gas

The global energy transition will become more disorderly, if oil-and-gas capex growth continues to outpace that of critical minerals. We remain long exposure to the equities of oil and gas producers via the XOP ETF; the COMT ETF to retain direct commodity exposure, and $100/bbl December 2024 Brent calls. Slower supply growth of metals facing off against steadily increasing demand also favors exposure to metals miners and refiners via the XME ETF.