Strategy Report

EM Local Bonds: To Buy Or Not To Buy?

02 Mar 2016

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist

Beyond the ongoing short-term rebound, EM currencies have more downside, and will depreciate by more than is implied by their forward rates on a 6-9 month horizon. This makes us reluctant to recommend buying local currency bonds to absolute-return investors. A new trade: Long Russian/short Malaysian equities. We also reiterate our short MYR/long RUB trade.

Interested in reading this report?

To access the full BCA Research report, request a complimentary copy

BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

Critical input for global and EM investors as it provides global macro investment themes as well as recommendations for EM equities, currencies, and fixed income.