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Report
This report revisits China’s property market through both cyclical and structural lenses, assesses the likely policy responses, and evaluates their investment implications....
19 Nov 2025
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Report
Partisan redrawing of congressional districts will not prevent Democrats from retaking the House in the 2026 midterms. Neither will the Supreme Court's look at the Voting Rights Act....
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Report
Indian stocks have further downside in absolute terms as profits disappoint. Their underperformance versus the EM equity benchmark, however, is late, which warrants a shift from underweight to neutral allocation....
19 Nov 2025
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Report
This week, our screeners explore opportunities in the Swedish stock market, Canadian gold-exposed and domestic-focused sectors, and ex-tech GenAI names....
18 Nov 2025
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Report
Tariffs are fading in importance as companies successfully mitigate cost pressures and preserve profitability. The recent wave of high-profile layoffs is more concerning, but there does not appear to be a systemic reason behind the announcements. However, emerging labor market softness could pose a ...
17 Nov 2025
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Report
Disparities between households and between companies’ earnings and equity performance are widening, but the overall status quo remains in place. We reiterate our neutral asset class recommendations while watching for early signs of whether activity might break out or break down....
17 Nov 2025
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Report
We examine past capex booms which turned into busts. Our analysis suggests that AI is following the same script as those ill-fated booms....
13 Nov 2025
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Report
This Special Report outlines the Fed’s balance sheet strategy and the rationale behind it. We also provide updated projections for the major asset and liability line items on the Fed’s balance sheet....
13 Nov 2025
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Report
Should investors chase the copper rally or use the latest bout of strength as an opportunity to sell? We warn that weakening Chinese demand and shrinking global manufacturing will weigh on the metal’s price over a cyclical timeframe....
13 Nov 2025
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Report
The greater risk to the world economy in 2026-27 is not that a recession triggers a market crash, but that a market crash triggers a recession. This is because a market crash will destroy the wealth that is funding the crucial marginal spending of 2.5 million excess American retirees. Plus, a new ta...
13 Nov 2025