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Strategy Report

Why Oil Is Headed To $55 (The Reprise)

by Dhaval Joshi, Chief Strategist  

Expectations for oil demand growth through 2023-24 are way too optimistic. Until these expectations fall to -0.5-1 percent, the oil price has further downside. Plus: collapsed complexity confirms that AI is in a mania, while basic materials stocks and ZAR/EUR are rebound candidates.

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BCA Research | Counterpoint

A global macro strategy which uniquely synthesizes macroeconomics with psychology, behavioural finance, non-linear systems, complexity, and fractal analysis.

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