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Special Report

Gauging EM/China Credit Impulses

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

In China and the majority EMs, credit impulses will be negative over the next 12 months as and if their credit growth converges towards their current nominal GDP growth. These negative credit impulses will dampen EM/China growth and their corporate profits. In the next 12 months, the credit cycle is most vulnerable in China, Brazil, Turkey, and Malaysia and least vulnerable in central Europe, the Philippines, and Mexico.

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BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

Critical input for global and EM investors as it provides global macro investment themes as well as recommendations for EM equities, currencies, and fixed income.  

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