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China: Flirting With Deflation

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

China is facing a risk of deflation. Marginal interest rate cuts and targeted stimulus will be insufficient to boost China’s growth given the current deflationary mindset and the danger is that the economy may be entering a liquidity trap. Deflation is bullish for government bonds, but negative for equity prices. Chinese share prices will continue to decline.

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BCA Research | China Investment Strategy

Evaluates both the cyclical trends and structural developments of China's economy, offering investment recommendations for China and the Greater China Region.

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