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Portfolio

| Private Markets

Private equity, credit, real estate, and infrastructure, analyzed with the same macro lens BCA brings to public markets.

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Special Report It is easy to hate Multi-Strategy Hedge Funds—they are no underdogs. The truth is they have been cheap, not expensive. Going forward, they come at a higher cost not just in the form of fees. The biggest risk is not to financial markets but to investors. We remain underweight cyclically, long structurally.
The ports that BlackRock acquired on both sides of the Panama Canal appear to be a bargain in terms of the entry valuation. But are the risks being appropriately compensated? In this prefatory report, we prepare investors for our upcoming Infrastructure reports, which will highlight geopolitical risk factors in this private asset class rarely encountered in others.
It is time to bet on brick-and-mortar again. The next time you step around your partner's Amazon package on your way to a physical store, consider this: Rock-bottom investor expectations, attractive initial fundamentals, and ongoing demographic shifts make Retail Real Estate a buy for the first time in a decade.
Special Report We are at a pivotal moment for Europe, supported by structural reforms and macro catalysts. While expanding credit markets and lower rates favor Private Equity over Private Credit, opportunities vary by segment. Large+ Buyouts are attractive as markets have priced in structural challenges. We downgrade Europe Private Credit, remain neutral on Europe Private Equity broadly but overweight Europe vs. North America in PE portfolios.
Special Report Private Real Estate and Public REITs differ beyond just being liquid or illiquid. Looking through surface-level metrics uncovers valuable choices for investors. When analyzing the opportunity for today’s next dollar, Private Real Estate is more attractive.
Understanding the risks across Private Credit will enable investors to be offensive, not just with sizing but across their total portfolio. Senior Direct Lending is not risk-free, Private Credit is not systemic, and a liquidity crisis will not be born in this asset class.
While AI deployment creates compelling investment opportunities, hyperscale facilities are not the only path forward. Investors should consider Office conversions into colocation Data Centers as the next dollar opportunity.
Investors have given up on European assets, which now suffer exceptional discounts to US ones. However, tighter US fiscal policy, the end of Europe’s austerity and deleveraging, the LNG Tsunami about to hit European shores, and the global capex fueled by the Impossible Geopolitical Trinity mean that Europe’s time to shine will soon come back.
Special Report North America Buyouts have been investors' favorite but the investing playbook needs rewriting. Now is the time to avoid the Core-Upper Middle Market and be aware of landmines in the Lower Middle Market. Investors should barbell their Buyout allocations in North America, preferring Large+ and Lower Middle Market.
We prefer Non-Core Infrastructure and Venture Capital over Buyouts and Multi-Strategy Hedge Funds. We are now overweight Core/+ Real Estate. Investors need to recheck the bank regulation tailwind for their long-term assumptions on Private Credit.