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Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

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Report
We recommend increasing exposure to spread product as the US economy transitions back into a low rate vol regime....
22 Apr 2026
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Report
Peru is well established to elect a pro-market government in the June 7 run-off, with institutional constraints limiting left-tail policy risks. We will go long Peruvian assets when Hormuz volatility subsides....
22 Apr 2026
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Webcast Replay

Roukaya discussed:

  • What is the status of the global and regional energy sector, including production and distribution?
  • How should investors assess the Iran war’s impact on the energy market?
  • How will the energy disruption ripple across other markets?
  • What are the long-term commodity market implications of the Iran war?
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Report
The debate over “what replaces the dollar” is misguided. The real shift is toward a multi-anchor system where reserve functions fragment. That changes everything from term premia to cross-asset correlations. The implication: portfolios built for the old regime are already behind the curve....
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Webcast Replay

Macro headlines may have shifted attention away from Private Markets, but the underlying risks remain. We revisit the Private Credit-Software cracks we flagged early and explain why, despite the noise, the structural story is just getting started.

  • How did we get here?
  • Is Software making or breaking Private Credit's diversification case?
  • Systemic risk or a normal credit cycle?
  • How are our 2024 calls on Distressed versus Buyouts playing out?
  • Where are the most overlooked opportunities across Private (and Public) Markets right now? 
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Report
The S&P 500 rally is likely more than just risk-relief. Market internals reflect strengthening economic growth and higher inflation, with support coming from robust earnings. Tight financial conditions have compressed valuations, particularly within the Tech sector. We are initiating a long Soft...
20 Apr 2026
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Report
Red Light. Green Light. So much for the “all clear” in the Hormuz saga. ...
19 Apr 2026
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Report
The Iran war is deescalating further — against our expectations — setting up an aggressive return to the risk-on rally. ...
17 Apr 2026
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Report
The dollar’s pullback masks a quiet improvement in its cyclical backdrop, with growth, monetary policy, and flows turning in its favor. As markets fully price out geopolitical risk, the USD should decouple from oil and better reflect these gains, despite lingering structural headwinds....
17 Apr 2026
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Webcast Replay

Marko Papic, Matt Gertken, and Roukaya Ibrahim look at the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz and the implications for global financial markets.

Topics  discussed:

  • Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold? What should investors monitor to determine whether it is failing?
  • How long will it take for energy flows and shipping to improve significantly? What would cause a relapse?
  • Will the disconnect between financial markets and the real economic impact prove lasting or significant?
  • How should investors position for the future evolution of commodity markets and commodity-linked assets?
  • What other market dynamics will emerge and will Hormuz remain the central global focus?