Recession-Hard/Soft Landing
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for March 2025.
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for January 2025.
While the US economy could remain upright on the tightrope for a while longer, it will inevitably fall, leading to a major bear market in stocks. We will be looking to our MacroQuant model for guidance on when to turn fully defensive. We are not there yet.
We examine Treasury market valuation and look for indicators that could help us time the next peak in yields. We also update the forecasts from our Treasury yield model.
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for January 2025.