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Global Liquidity Still Has Room To Run, But Not For Long

by Mathieu Savary, Chief Strategist, Developed Markets ex US & Head of Research Innovation  

Global liquidity has been the decisive macro variable in 2025, and should stay broadly supportive through most of 2026. We therefore stay neutral equities versus bonds (valuations are stretched), keep a positive bias toward metals (especially gold), and prefer European and Japanese equities over US ones. The key risk is a late-2026 volatility regime shift as overheating fears force a repricing in rates.

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