Israel has taken unilateral action against Iran on June 12. According to the media reports, the following are the key developments: Israel has attacked multiple targets across Iran, including in the capital Tehran. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the Operation Rising Lion w...
Provided that humanity can overcome the existential risks posed by AI, real incomes will rise. Although most workers will ultimately gain from the transition to an AI-dominated economy, the biggest winners will be those who control the land and the natural resources beneath it....
The perfectly synchronised moves in US, Japanese, German, and UK 30-year bond yields through the past two months are odd… and irrational. These irrational moves present compelling investment opportunities....
The London Sino-US trade talks offered hope of de-escalation, but Chinese equities remain under pressure from deflationary headwinds and lack a clear macro catalyst to trend higher....
While we anticipate higher inflation in June, it looks increasingly likely that the price impact from tariffs will be less aggressive and long-lasting than many feared....
Bond market volatility will spike again in the near term. The Fed is committed to an easing cycle yet the Trump administration’s signature fiscal policy action will stimulate the economy. Tariffs are supposed to keep the budget deficit contained but they are inflationary....
A falling dollar usually eases financial conditions, but recent dollar weakness is unlikely to reverse negative growth surprises, reinforcing our call to sell risk assets on strength. Our tactical framework tracks the reflexive loop between financial conditions and economic surprises: data surprises...
This month, we flip the order of our chartpack. We focus on the secular/long-term first. Both because we think that we have something profound to say and because we believe that our tactical call has very little new value-add. We remain convinced, as we have been for over a year, that President Trum...
Robotics is on the cusp of a new, powerful uptrend, powered by reshoring and technological breakthroughs that make robots more capable and affordable....
