Sorry, you need to enable JavaScript to visit this website.
Skip to main content
Skip to main content

Insights

Access expert research, timely insights, and exclusive webcasts to help you make confident, data-driven decisions.

All Reports Webcasts
bca.gmac_si_2026_06_11_cms.png
Report
Oil Price Is An Independent Variable In The Hormuz Crisis
Tensions between Iran, the US, and Israel have reached their highest point since mid-March – or at least since the ceasefire announcement on April 8 – this week. President Trump responded to the downing of an AH-64 Apache helicopter with air strikes on Iran on June 9. Subsequently, Iran and Israel e...
11 Jun 2026
bca.eis_si_2026_06_11_cw.png
Report
After The Insurance Hike, The Dovish Pivot
Today’s ECB rate hike is not the beginning of a hiking cycle. Growth concerns will soon move to the forefront of ECB policy decisions, preventing further tightening....
11 Jun 2026
bca.gfis_si_2026_06_10_cms.png
Report
Markets Are Overpricing BoC Tightening
The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged and emphasized inflation risks from higher oil prices. We discuss why inflation and labor market data argue against the tightening currently priced....
Canada Monetary Policy
10 Jun 2026
bca.usbs_si_2026_06_10_cms.png
Report
Core Inflation Is Tame For Now … But Risks Remain For US Bonds
May CPI data show no evidence of passthrough from energy prices to core inflation. This will keep the Fed on hold for the time being....
US Inflation/Deflation
10 Jun 2026
bca.fes_si_2026_06_10_cms.png
Report
Korea: More KOSPI Volatility, But A Positive Outlook For The Won
Rising volatility in Korean markets captures a late-cycle surge in which euphoria and drawdown risk are rising together. While KOSPI momentum remains intact, the bigger opportunity may be emerging in the increasingly mispriced KRW, which could rally meaningfully as portfolio flow headwinds fade....
South Korea Equities
10 Jun 2026
bca.usp_sr_2026_06_10_cover.png
Report
Midterm Election Dashboard!
Midterms matter but geopolitics are the main risk this year. Markets will eventually refocus on geopolitical and inflation risks, raising Fed rate hike odds and supporting US dollar and stocks over global counterparts this year....
US Election Policy
10 Jun 2026
Doug-Peta.png
Webcast Replay
Earnings Bonanza

Earnings versus everything else has been an apt description for the macro backdrop during the conflict with Iran. Earnings growth has been red hot, but the Middle East was a mess, oil and other energy-related costs soared, bond yields surged and money markets priced in a central bank U-turn from cuts to hikes. Earnings have carried the day to this point, and we think the equity market has been right to follow them.

 Doug discussed the events that could shift the narrative while keeping tabs on the following key drivers:

  • The labor market
  • Consumption
  • Inflation
  • Monetary policy
  • AI investment
  • Portfolio positioning over 3- and 12-month timeframes
Watch Now
bca.gmac_hte_2026_06_09_cms_v2.png
Report
Here, There, and Everywhere Report - June 2026
For the first time since… 2022… the GeoMacro team is starting to contemplate the end of the cycle in a serious way....
09 Jun 2026
bca.gps_wr_2026_06_09_thumbnail.png
Report
Is Political Backlash Against AI Investment-Relevant?
The populist backlash against AI could result in bipartisan regulation in 2027, but is especially likely to prompt tax hikes from 2029. ...
AI Legislation
09 Jun 2026
bca.ets_si_2026_06_09_cms.png
Report
Dr. Copper, Australia, And Reinvestment-Led Technology
In this screener report, we explore opportunities in: US copper beneficiaries; Australian Materials, Energy, and Industrial stocks; and US reinvestment-led Tech stocks....
Equities Copper
09 Jun 2026