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Report
Thanks to their attractive valuations, European equities are piquing the interest of global investors. Is there more to the appeal of European stocks or do they remain a mere value trap?...
14 Feb 2025
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Report
Thanks to their attractive valuations, European equities are piquing the interest of global investors. Is there more to the appeal of European stocks or do they remain a mere value trap?...
14 Feb 2025
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Report
If the 130-day complexity of the Nasdaq versus 30-year T-bond collapsed to 1.30, it would signal the risk of a -20 percent market slump. This indicator, at 1.37, is not yet at critical, but we recommend that you keep a close eye on it on our website. Plus: an update on our recent trades....
13 Feb 2025
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Report
The budget process and debt ceiling will cause stock and bond market volatility. US trade policies will provoke foreign pushback at a time of stretched valuations. Hence US politics and geopolitics will be bullish for US energy, but bearish for the internationally exposed US tech sector....
12 Feb 2025
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Report
Some thoughts on this morning’s CPI report and its implications for the Fed and Treasury yields....
12 Feb 2025
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Report
Questions about fiscal risks and their impact on bond markets have become more frequent in client conversations. This Special Report provides a framework to assess a country’s fiscal sustainability and how it affects its bond market outlook. On an individual country basis, Spain has shown a remarkab...
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Report
In his latest Thoughts Of The Day, Peter Berezin discusses the different moving parts of the global economy today and the potential impact of Trump's policies....
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Report
The bond market has paused its selloff thanks to a revolt by the Republicans in the House of Representatives against much of President Trump’s fiscal agenda. Gone are the lofty projections of the expanded deficit and we are now looking at merely the 2017 tax cuts being extended. This is positive for...
11 Feb 2025
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Report
In this report, we reassess our bullish stance on crypto from early 2023, following Bitcoin’s recent all-time highs. While institutional adoption is broadening, there are also signs of excessive exuberance, speculation, and optimism. Given these conditions, a near-term correction appears likely. We ...