US Dollar

This Insight looks at the likely direction of bond yields and the dollar, from the lens of money velocity.

This Insight looks at the likely direction of bond yields and the dollar, from the lens of money velocity.

This week, we cover the main questions we fielded during our latest client trip in Europe. Among the many topics broached are Europe’s recession odds, the impact of China’s stimulus, and the outlook for European markets.

The month of October ahead of a US general election tends to be a volatile month with negative outcome for equities. As such, it is prudent to remain on the sidelines until after the election.

This report looks at the likely path for the dollar and bond yields over the next 6-to-12 months.

The market got excited by the 50 bps Fed cut and China stimulus. But these are a recognition that economies are slowing significantly. Stocks often rally after the first Fed cut, before falling sharply. Investors should stay defensive.