GeoMacro Strategy Outlook

Five Black Swans For 2025

Matt Gertken, Head of GeoMacro Jesse Anak Kuri, Strategist Yushu Ma, Strategist Max Malakhveitchouk, Senior Analyst Junfei Guo, Research Analyst

Economic Sanctions War/Conflict Trump's Policies

Published on

09 Jan 2025

Every year we highlight five low-odds scenarios that would have a major impact on global financial markets if they happened. This year we contemplate a total reversal of Chinese policy, a US-Iran nuclear deal, a breakdown of NATO, US military action across the Americas, and an internationally coordinated FX intervention.

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BCA Research | GeoMacro

A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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