November 2025
In Section I, Doug explains how the sharp upward revision to second-quarter consumption in the final GDP estimate has reduced our recession conviction and could lead us to abandon our recession call altogether. The situation is fluid, though, as typified by the striking weakness of stocks in consumer-facing and cyclically exposed subindustries. In Section II, Doug and Global Investment Strategy’s Miroslav Aradski consider the implications of the AI investment boom.
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BCA Research | The Bank Credit Analyst
The Bank Credit Analyst has been published continuously since 1949, covering developments in the US and global economy, with a focus on inflation, debt, and policy trends in order to generate investment advice.
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