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United States

Are Inflation Expectations Rising Again?
The preliminary January University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index missed estimates on Friday, driven by a cooling of consumer expectations. Worryingly, both the 1-year and 5-to-10 year inflation expectations ticked up to 3.3% from 2.8% and 3.0%,…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Are Commodities Sending A Bullish Signal?
Despite a strong dollar, rising yields, and falling equities, oil and copper prices have recently risen. Oil has broken out above its 200-day moving average, while copper is currently testing its own.  Oil’s bullish price action is explained by…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Weekly Screeners: US Tech, Equity Sentiment, And Quality “Bubbles”?

To kick start our new research agenda at Equity Analyzer, we welcome you to our weekly screener report. Each week we will deliver three screeners highlighting stocks exposed to various macro and investment views and themes, that have either been suggested by various BCA strategies, such as the Global Investment Strategy, or are based on research by the Equity Analyzer team. In our first installment, we take a look at US Tech stocks, equity sentiment, and quality "bubble" stocks.

Equity Analyzer by Guy Russell
The Bond Market Riot Engulfs Europe

UK and German bonds are victims of the global bond market riots. Will European yields continue to move higher and will the euro and the pound find a floor anytime soon? 

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
The Everything Selloff

Thoughts on the increase in bond yields and this morning’s employment data.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
US Equities: Beware Corporate Bond Yields
Our Chart Of The Week comes from Arthur Budaghyan, Chief Strategist for our Emerging Markets Strategy service. Arthur discusses the relationship between corporate bond yields and stock prices. Historically, US stocks suffer when US corporate bond yields…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Strong US Jobs Report Increases Odds Of No-Landing
The US December jobs report came in stronger than expected. Payrolls rose by 256k vs. a downwardly revised 212k in November, leaving the 3-month moving average at about 170k. The unemployment and underemployment rates decreased to 4.1% (from 4.2%) and 7.5%…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
The Financial Conditions-Growth Loop
The global economy is subject to numerous cycles displaying reflexivity and feedback loops. One of these is the relationship between financial conditions and growth. Given this relationship, economic strength can plant the seeds of its own demise.Markets are…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Five Black Swans For 2025

Every year we highlight five low-odds scenarios that would have a major impact on global financial markets if they happened. This year we contemplate a total reversal of Chinese policy, a US-Iran nuclear deal, a breakdown of NATO, US military action across the Americas, and an internationally coordinated FX intervention.

Geopolitical Strategy by Matt Gertken, Jesse Anak Kuri, Yushu Ma, Max Malakhveitchouk, Junfei Guo
Higher Yields Risk Breaking The Stock-Bond Correlation
The post-COVID inflation impacted the most important cross-asset relationship: the stock-bond correlation. Higher inflation expectations pushed yields higher, leading to a correction in bond and stock prices. As price pressures receded, bond yields fell and…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier

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