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A surprisingly dovish outcome from this week's FOMC meeting has led to broad-based weakness in the U.S. dollar. The monetary policy divergence supporting the dollar may have peaked.
Special Report Most of the economic arguments in favor of the U.K. leaving the EU do not carry much weight, as we discuss in this collaboration between BCA's Geopolitical Strategy and European Investment Strategy. However, the probability is a coin…
Special Report This Special Report reviews all of our active recommendations, including our over/underweight country and asset allocation positions, as well as our current tactical trades.
The euro stopped weakening in March 2015, which coincided with the ECB starting its asset purchases. Since then, the ECB's incremental policies have been unable to push the euro lower. The price action speaks to the resilience of the…
Cutting through the hype that will surround policy initiatives today, the ECB is caught between a rock and a hard place. We explain why, and what it means for investors.
Over the coming two weeks, the G3 central banks will be holding key policy meetings that could prove instrumental in setting major FX trends for the next several months. What can currency traders expect?
For the month of February, the model underperformed both global and U.S. equities. For March, the model has modestly pared back its equity risk exposure, shifting the allocation into bonds. While Europe remains the largest equity…
Special Report We are introducing a new set of fair value models for currencies. On a cyclical basis, the dollar is expensive. However, this is not enough of a reason to expect an imminent fall in the greenback. The yen is extremely cheap, and its…
Sterling has come under intense pressure since PM Cameron announced date of the EU referendum. Our bearish view on the British pound has not been based on a forecast of U.K. succession from the EU.
Where is the most likely mispricing of interest rates today? Plus our latest thoughts on the U.K.'s June 23 referendum on EU membership, and its market implications.