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Special Report Highlights We remain bullish on France over the long run. Its industrial economy should revive on global stimulus over the coming years and its government will likely remain reformist in orientation. Macron has enough of a popular…
China: The Recovery And Equity Dichotomy China’s economic recovery has been gathering steam, and policymakers have become reasonably confident about the growth outlook. In fact, transaction activity in the property market has…
Highlights A buildup in industrial inventory may temporarily slow down China’s commodity imports over the next month or two. Last week’s Politburo meeting stated that policy supports will remain in place for 2H20, despite a…
Highlights Global Bond Yields: The growing divide between falling negative real bond yields and rising inflation expectations in the US and other major developed economies may be a sign of investors pricing in slower long-run potential…
  Markets have shrugged off the rise in COVID-19 cases in the US and new clusters in other places such as Spain, Hong Kong, Melbourne, and Tokyo (Chart 1). The MSCI All-Country World Index is now only 4% off its all-time high in…
  BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service maintains its high conviction call that a new spending bill will be passed, likely by August 10. Fresh fiscal stimulus is more positive for the cyclical outlook than the…
Dear Client, In lieu of our regular report next week, we will be sending you a Special Report from my colleague Garry Evans, Chief Global Asset Allocation Strategist. Garry will be discussing the social and industrial changes that will…
Highlights The tech sector faces mounting domestic political and geopolitical risks. We fully expected stimulus hiccups but believe they will give way to large new fiscal support, given that COVID-19 is weighing on consumer confidence…
Highlights The decade-long US equity market outperformance versus the rest of the world could be nearing its end. We are upgrading EM stocks from underweight to neutral within a global equity portfolio. We reiterate the change in our…
  At the press conference following the FOMC decision, Fed Chair Powell reinforced the extremely dovish forward guidance of the Fed by asserting once again that the committee “is not thinking about thinking about raising…