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Recommended Allocation  Chart 1Only Internet Stocks Have Kept On Rising  It has been a very strange bull market. Although global equities are up 52% since their bottom on March 23rd, the rally has been limited largely to…
Special Report Highlights Fed Policy Changes: The official shift to an average inflation targeting regime represents a massive structural break relative to how the Fed conducted monetary policy in the past. The main takeaway for investors should be…
Special Report Highlights President Trump is making a comeback in our quantitative election model. An upgrade from our 35% odds of a Trump win is on the horizon, pending a fiscal relief bill.  The Fed’s pursuit of “maximum…
Highlights US-China relations in 2020 consist of a gentleman’s agreement to keep the Phase One trade deal in place and aggressive maneuvering in every other policy area. Stimulus is unlikely to be curtailed in the US or China…
  Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s long-awaited policy speech outlining the Fed’s goal of reviving US labor markets and targeting an average inflation rate of 2% over the long term was cheered on by US equity…
Special Report Highlights Historically, soft-budget constraints have typically been followed by periods of poor equity market performance. Soft-budget constraints could produce two distinct economic scenarios: malinvestment or inflation. Both are…
Highlights Negative Rates: The persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic is intensifying pressure on policymakers in many countries to provide more stimulus. The odds that a new central bank will join the negative policy interest rate club…
Dear clients, China Investment Strategy will take a summer break next week. We will resume our publication on September 9th. Best regards, Jing Sima, China Strategist   Highlights The threat of US sanctions has sparked fears…
  The bar for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to deliver an incrementally dovish surprise in his remarks later today is high, given that markets already expect the Fed funds rate to stay pinned at zero until late 2023, the end of the…
  BCA Research's Global Fixed Income Strategy service argues that the persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic intensifies pressure on policymakers around the world to provide more economic stimulus. The odds that more central…