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The perception that central banks have turned even more dovish has pushed down global bond yields, while also giving stocks a lift. Looking out, bond yields are likely to edge higher as investors begin to focus more on the outcome of…
Please see attached our Third Quarter Strategy Outlook which discusses the major investment themes and views we see playing out for the rest of the year.
Brexit is putting our bearish short-term dollar view in question as global policy uncertainty has surged. Yet, investors are displaying elevated signs of risk aversion but the global economy still looks fine. This dissonance is…
Special Report Dear Client, After being ardent bond bulls for many years, it is time to shift gears. As I write these words, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has hit an all-time low of 1.37%, the 10-year bund yield is at -0.18%, and the 10-year Swiss…
The model continues to keep its largest overweight in U.S. equities. Directionally, Japan's underweight is slightly reduced for a second month (albeit by only 13 basis points).
For the month of June, the model performed in line with both global equities and the S&P 500. For the month of July, the model is increasing its risk exposure.
Global uncertainty is elevated, but markets know this. Brexit could prove extremely negative for the global economy if it prompts a questioning of the EU's integrity. The cyclical outlook for the pound remains poor, but a short-term…
Special Report The Russo-Chinese relationship got a diplomatic boost this week, but can China provide Russia with the capital it needs to boost productivity meaningfully?
Government bond yields will remain at depressed levels as investors stay in safe haven assets given the lack of clarity on the next steps in the Brexit saga.
Among the myriad of troubling signs for the global economy, some developments on the inventory and deflationary fronts could point to a brighter future. While still not our base case, those factors need to be monitored. With Brexit…