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Insurance

The Life and Health Insurance industry offers downside protection and portfolio diversification in the event of a market correction, surging inflation, or stubbornly high interest rates.

This is the time of the year when strategists are busy sending out their annual outlooks. Here on the Global Investment Strategy team, we decided to go one step further. Rather than pontificating about what could happen in 2025, we decided to harness the power of the multiverse to tell you what did happen (in at least one highly representative timeline).

Next week, please join me for a Webcast on Tuesday, December 17 at 10:30 AM EST (3:30 PM GMT, 4:30 PM CET) to discuss the economy and financial markets.

And with that, I will sign off for the year. I wish you and your loved ones a very happy and healthy 2025. We will be back in the first week of January with our MacroQuant Model Update.

Executive Summary The structural downtrend in Chinese bond yields has a lot further to go, because it is helping to let the air out gently of stratospheric valuations in the real estate sector, and thereby preventing a hard landing for the Chinese economy. In the US, flagging mortgage and…
The BCA house view is that the US Treasury rates will move higher this year. Monetary tightening has been one of our core investment themes, and a reason for overweighing banks back in September 2021, which outperformed the S&P 500 by 7% since we initiated this position. Today, we double down…
Upgrading Insurance…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy The hardening insurance market on the back of firming demand for insurance services especially in residential real estate and automobile markets compel us to lift insurers to a benchmark allocation. A resurgent stock-to-bond ratio, the reopening of the economy…
Highlights China’s healthcare expenditure is projected to rise due to the increasing affluence and rapid aging of its population. The desire to access healthcare services beyond the basic coverage provided by the public health insurance will increasingly prompt people to purchase health…
Fading Insurance…
Say No! To Insurance Say…
  Say No! To Insurance…