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Fixed Income

Weak Chinese Private Sector Loan Demand In October…
Treasury Yields And The Relative Performance Of Cyclical Equities…
US Policy Is Restrictive, But Inflation Expectations Are Still High…
Weak UK Economy Raises Likelihood BoE Leads Pivot To Easing…

The recent rate hike by the Philippines central bank cannot control food inflation. Nor can it stem the currency slide.

Results from Tuesday’s elections suggest that the Democrats are doing better than what their 2024 polling are showing. While the results are marginally positive for equities, investors should not overrate this off-year election, especially considering the slowing economy and the many foreign challenges facing the US.

If You Buy Just One Bond, Buy The German Bund…
Will US Small Caps Continue To Disappoint…
A Growing Monetary Policy Divergence Between Australia & Canada…

Following the October US jobs data, the ‘Joshi rule’ real-time US recession indicator increased from 0.11 to 0.15, meaning that it is fast approaching its event horizon of 0.20. We go through the investment implications. We also highlight a new long-term recommendation. Plus, the Norwegian krone is close to a potential rebound.