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A collection of 10 important charts to monitor closely through the summer months.
Special Report Chinese banks have been writing off impaired loans, and the pace has quickened sharply in recent years. This has been largely ignored by investors. Under a rather extreme scenario, Chinese commercial banks' NPL ratio could reach 14…
The major banks are more willing to lend to the consumer and less willing to lend to the corporate sector.
Expectations of a prolonged period of abundant liquidity and rising confidence that recession is not imminent have created the conditions for a potential blow-off phase. This week we are fine-tuning our portfolio for peak performance…
The previous Insight showed that the capital markets group required a reversal in currently bearish relative forward earnings momentum in order to break out of its funk. Trading profits are volatile, and markets typically only reward…
Several large capital markets firms have produced better-than-expected profits in the latest quarter, driven largely by a flurry of fixed income trading following the Brexit vote, subsequently triggering a short covering rally in…
In successful investment analysis "less is more, and usually much more effective."
There has not been much of an improvement/recovery in the Chinese economy. Credit growth is weakening anew, which warrants a downbeat cyclical outlook for China's industrial sectors. Malaysia is heading into a classic credit/banking…
With Treasury yields backing up from extremely depressed levels, many clients are asking if an overweight allocation to the REIT space remains appropriate. While a sharp spike in yields would clearly be problematic in the short run, we…
Special Report Highlights Just ahead of the attempted coup d'état in Turkey, the international press was largely complementary of the political situation in the country. For example, a Bloomberg headline read "Once Spurned, Turkey…