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Special Report Dear Client, This week, we are publishing a Special Report on the geopolitical implications of COVID-19 from Matt Gertken, BCA Research’s Chief Geopolitical Strategist. Matt discusses the rise of nationalism with each successive…
  Highlights In the short run, extreme policy uncertainty is problematic for risk assets. In the long run, gargantuan fiscal and monetary stimulus continues to support cyclical trades. Equity volatility always increases in the…
  Brazilian share prices and the currency have benefited from the global risk-on environment and rising commodities prices. However, the domestic backdrop remains extremely challenging as BCA Research’s Emerging Markets…
  BCA Research's Emerging Markets Strategy and China Investment Strategy services published a joint Special Report illustrating that China has become a major global innovation center. The country overtook the US as the new…
Please note that yesterday we published Special Report titled Do Not Overlook China’s Innovation Drive. Please click on it to access it. Today, we publish analysis on Brazil and Ukraine.   Chart I-1Brazilian Share Prices…
Special Report Highlights Economic shocks in recent decades have led to surges in nationalism and the COVID-19 crisis is unlikely to be different. Nationalism adds to the structural challenges facing globalization, which is already in retreat.…
Highlights The cyclical rally in stocks is not over, but the S&P 500 will churn between 2800 and 3200 this summer. Supportive policy, robust household balance sheets and budding economic growth have put a floor under global…
Special Report China became the world’s number one source of Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) patent applications last year. China is the world’s innovation leader in such areas as digital communications, computer technology, audio-visual technology…
  BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service maintains a bullish long-run outlook on India and views a selloff as an opportunity to buy Indian assets. The Indo-Chinese conflict on the Himalayan border is unlikely to have a…
  A measure of inflows into China, FX Net Settlements for CNY Clients, has risen to CNY142.9 billion in May, the highest level since March 2014. This increase indicates that Chinese domestic investors are repatriating funds at home…