Corporate profits are more sensitive to selling prices than to volumes. Falling prices even amid mildly rising volumes could produce a meaningful profit contraction. Stay with deflation trades. In particular, maintain the short EM…
The declining correlation between risk assets and Treasury yields suggests that the market perceives monetary policy to be overly restrictive. Historically, this has led the FOMC to adopt a more dovish policy stance.
Equity selloff alone will not catch the Fed's eye unless there is an outright crash.