Auto Manufacturers

Battery Malfunction…

Underweight Recently we highlighted how the inclusion of TSLA in the S&P consumer discretionary sector catapulted the sector’s 5-year growth forecasts to the stratosphere. We also mentioned anecdotes of sell-side analysts having to conduct 20 year out DCF models to justify TSLA’s price.…

In last week’s US Sector Insight we showed how TSLA’s inclusion in the S&P 500 pushed consumer discretionary 5-year forward EPS growth into the stratosphere. We then dove deeper into this GICS1 sectors in this Monday’s Strategy Report and downgraded the S&P automobiles & components…

Highlights Portfolio Strategy Speculative fervor dominates trading in the S&P auto & components group, but soaring long-term profit projections, lofty valuations, overbought technicals, and a looming German/Japanese/Chinese BEV competitive attack on TSLA’s BEV home turf, all but…

Highlights While difficult to forecast, the trajectory of global auto sales likely will follow that of GDP growth (Chart of the Week). As a result, palladium’s supply constraints will re-emerge, but its “epic rally” likely unfolds at a slower pace as global economic conditions normalize at an…

Analyses on Chinese autos and Brazil are available below. Highlights The Fed’s aggressive monetization of public and some private debt has inspired investors to allocate cash to risk assets However, a number of cyclical indicators continue to flash red or amber, suggesting this rally is not…

Highlights Bulk commodity markets – chiefly iron ore and steel – could see sharp rallies once Chinese authorities give the all-clear on COVID-19 (the WHO’s official name for the coronavirus). These markets rallied sharply Tuesday, as President Xi vowed China would achieve its growth targets…

Highlights Chinese stocks made a comeback as soon as the speed of COVID-19 transmitting outside of the epicenter somewhat moderated. Inside the epicenter, the pandemic has not shown clear signs of easing, and could significantly prolong the region’s lockdown. Despite being a large…

Today we are also publishing a Special Report titled Chinese Auto Demand: Time For A Recovery? Highlights India is the third-largest world consumer of crude oil. Hence, fluctuations in its oil consumption is a non-negligible factor behind global oil prices. India’s petroleum demand growth…