April 2 may mark peak trade tensions, but the path forward remains highly uncertain, supporting our underweight on risk assets and industrial commodities. The USTR’s long-awaited report on trade barriers will guide the next phase of US trade policy. While the report only contains a total of 13 pages...
Liberation Day is coming to America! In honor of the new holiday, GeoMacro will be increasing prices using an algorithm that will determine how much each client owes us for the sweet taste of their liberty (… from the clutches of normative geopolitical analysis)!...
The trade war is on everyone’s mind with America’s “Liberation Day” upon us! However, the reality under the surface is that the main macro narrative has been a rotation – nay… exodus – out of US assets into RoW. This was not supposed to happen with de-globalization and a MAGA trade policy. US assets...
In this month’s Beta report, we continue our series supporting our bullish thesis on Europe. We take a deep dive into the aftermath of the European energy crisis – dispelling the myth that Europe faces risks of imminent deindustrialization – and evaluate the impact the approaching LNG wave will have...
QC is on the verge of exciting technological breakthroughs and will eventually present multiple sound investment opportunities. However, the industry is still in its early innings, and buying pure-play QC stocks is akin to buying lottery tickets. Big Tech may end up dominating the space. We recommen...
Trump’s foreign policy has been the focus for investors over the past few months. But is it really the underlying cause of the selloff? Market dynamics suggests that tariffs have only been a catalyst. In our view, investors should not focus on the man – Trump and his policy preferences – but should ...
Corporate bond spreads are tight around the globe and do not adequately compensate for the risk of a deterioration in credit quality. We examine the global corporate credit landscape to identify which markets are best equipped to perform in the current environment....
Going into April, MacroQuant recommends a modest underweight on stocks, offset by an overweight on bonds and cash. While MacroQuant is modestly bearish on stocks, we suspect that the downside risks to equities may be greater than what the model assumes....
Going into April, MacroQuant recommends a modest underweight on stocks, offset by an overweight on bonds and cash. While MacroQuant is modestly bearish on stocks, we suspect that the downside risks to equities may be greater than what the model assumes....
With economic headwinds building and fiscal dynamics shifting, bond markets are at a turning point. Our latest note outlines why German bund yields are set to decline and why UK gilts are poised to outperform — and how to position accordingly....
