Sorry, you need to enable JavaScript to visit this website.
Skip to main content
Skip to main content

United States

Trump 2.0, In His Own Words
President Trump’s inaugural speech outlined his second term agenda. The theme was that the US will become “far more exceptional” than it already is. Trump pledged to reverse America’s decline, rebalance the justice system, streamline government, protect…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Lessons From Trump 1.0
We look at President Trump’s first mandate for lessons on how markets would likely react to different policies. On the fiscal front, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) was the first pro-cyclical stimulus in decades. Markets pushed back, as the early 2018…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Trump Day One: Threats And Opportunities For Europe

President Trump is about to be inaugurated. Investors often assume all his policies will hurt Europe, but the reality is more nuanced.

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
Is US Housing Finding A Bottom?
US December housing data was strong, with housing starts printing above estimates at 1.49m, an acceleration from an upwardly-revised 1.29m in November. Building permits also surprised positively at 1.483m, but still decreased from 1.493m a month prior. The…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Trump’s Inauguration
US Tariffs Will Rise On Day One (Or Week One) …
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Is The Fiscal Gravy Train Over?
Our Chart Of The Week comes from Marko Papic, Chief Strategist of our GeoMacro Strategy service. Marko has argued that the most important macro story over the past decade has been the transition from the Washington Consensus, promoting fiscal conservatism, to…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
More On Value And Timing

We examine Treasury market valuation and look for indicators that could help us time the next peak in yields. We also update the forecasts from our Treasury yield model.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
Weekly Screeners: Trumpflation, Low-Beta US Stocks, Singapore Setback

This week, our screeners cover views on Trump 2.0, defensive US equity sectors, and a pullback in Singapore equities. Our first screener aims to hedge longer term inflation risks that Trump 2.0 will likely generate, targeting US equities that are highly correlated with future inflation expectations. Our second screener identifies several defensive sectors that are worth consideration, in case of a tactical pullback in US equities. Lastly, we pick out Singapore stocks that are cheap and high safety, should a pullback occur in the local bourse given weakening macro and technical conditions. 

Equity Analyzer by Guy Russell
Philly Fed Index: Signal Or Noise?
The January Philly Fed Manufacturing index blew past estimates, soaring to 44.3 vs. a revised 10.9 points contraction in December. Most subcomponents rose for both the current and expected categories. Measures of prices paid and received also ticked…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
An Uninspiring Retail Sales Report
December US retail sales missed estimates, with the headline number printing at 0.4% m/m, a decline from an upwardly revised 0.8% in November. On the positive side, the control group beat estimates at 0.7%. Netting it all out, the report was uninspiring,…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier

Related Topics

Australia Canada Europe Japan New Zealand