This week, our three screeners focus on providing equity insights based on the impact of tariffs, and trade policy uncertainty in general, helping clients identify stocks exposed to these shocks.
All the growth in the US labour supply since mid-2023 has come from immigration. This means if net immigration comes to a grinding halt, as Trump wants, it will hurt economic growth as well as keep the labour market supply-…
We revisit our view on the “fiscal gravy train” as well as President Trump’s negotiating style. We re-print parts of our March 2024 net assessment, particularly for the benefit of our new clients who have joined us at BCA Research.…
Trump’s territorial ambitions threaten to deliver negative surprises and “black swan” risks during his four-year term. Military conflicts on the Mexican border raise the biggest risk, but US intervention in Panama can never be ruled…
The 10% tariff hike announced on Saturday will likely serve as the opening salvo in a broader wave of protectionist measures. In this report, we assess the increase in US import tariffs on China. While the direct impact on China’s…
Markets and forecasters anticipate a “Golden Age” for Trump’s America, with US growth expectations soaring while the rest of the world lags. However, this extreme optimism means that there is a lot of room for disappointment. Cooling…
Vous êtes cordialement invité(e) à rejoindre Jérémie Peloso pour un webcast présenté en français le mercredi 29 janvier à 10:00 AM EST (3:00 PM GMT, 4:00 PM CET).
