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  Tech stocks have recently been bearing the brunt of the US equity selloff. The Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors – home to major H1 outperformers including Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Tesla…
Bulls and bears have capitulated, and the majority of the clients surveyed expect a rangebound market in the near term. Our fair value PE NTM indicates that the S&P 500 is only modestly overvalued. The continued outperformance…
Special Report This Special Report is a timely reprise of a speech that I gave at the London School of Economics on our understanding and misunderstanding of generative AI. In neurological terms, generative AI has a ‘super-neocortex’ which means…
  Strategists arguing for an end of the outperformance of US equities over international stocks have pointed to the lofty valuations of American stocks vis-à-vis their global counterparts. Moreover, they have highlighted…
  The stock market’s pre-eminent growth sector is not US technology, it is French luxury goods. On most time horizons over the past decades, French luxuries have trumped US technology on profit growth, price performance and…
  BCA Research's US Equity Strategy service downgraded Semiconductors to underweight for the following reasons: Weakening global growth: Global semiconductor sales move in lockstep with economic growth. Global growth…
Outperformance of Growth sectors most likely has run its course. It is time to shift Growth vs. Value allocation to neutral, downgrade Semis, and upgrade Energy to overweight.
Special Report We recommend a small structural exposure to cryptocurrencies and blockchain tokens, given their incipient real-world uses as well as their proven hedging qualities against the debasement of fiat money and in banking crises. In this…
  The Equity Analyzer Platform uses a 30-factor model called the BCA Score to help our clients build robust portfolios. Multi-factor models are constructed to avoid the common pitfalls of focusing on one factor dimension, such as…
The stratospheric valuation of this year’s AI mania is likely to deflate, just as it did after the Web 1.0 mania of the late 90s. We go through some long-term and short-term investment implications.