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Investors have given up on European assets, which now suffer exceptional discounts to US ones. However, tighter US fiscal policy, the end of Europe’s austerity and deleveraging, the LNG Tsunami about to hit European shores, and the…
Special Report Investors have given up on European assets, which now suffer exceptional discounts to US ones. However, tighter US fiscal policy, the end of Europe’s austerity and deleveraging, the LNG Tsunami about to hit European shores, and the…
  Preliminary estimates suggest that US durable goods orders growth rebounded sharply from a 6.9% m/m contraction to 9.9% growth in July, upending expectations of a more muted 5.0% monthly increase. However, a 34.8% m/m rise in…
Special Report This year’s cash for clunkers program will have only a mildly positive impact on domestic demand for automobiles and home appliances in China. In the meantime, the equipment renewal program will prop up domestic manufacturing…
The US manufacturing renaissance, spurred on by reshoring, automation, and government spending, is running its course but progress has slowed on the back of tight monetary conditions and the manufacturing recession. The deceleration…
Special Report The trajectory of China’s infrastructure investment in 2023H2 will be like what occurred in 2021H2. Growth will likely drop from the current nominal 10% to 0-2% in the next six months. China will continue promoting environmentally…
  Neutral In light of the likely slowdown in Chinese data, last week we downgraded the S&P machinery index from overweight to neutral. This sub-surface industrials sector move also comes on the heels of our previous upgrade…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy China’s slowdown, a grinding higher US dollar, extremely overbought technicals and historically pricey valuations, all signal that the time is ripe to book profits and downgrade machinery to neutral…
  Overweight In the coming months the market may sniff out the China driven slowdown we highlighted in recent research. This will likely present an opportunity to further augment machinery exposure as a number of macro forces…
In this Monday’s Weekly Report we reiterated our overweight stance in the S&P machinery index owing to a healthy macro backdrop. Starting from overseas, China is providing a large enough stimulus, which is on a par with the…