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Relative to beaten-down expectations, global growth will surprise on the upside in 2023. Investors should overweight equities for now but look to turn more defensive in the second half of the year.
Special Report This week we present our outlook for the Fed in 2023.
Investors were heartened by the November CPI report, but the Fed said not so fast. Although it snuffed out the latest mini-rally, ongoing disinflation will set the stage for another one early next year.
Special Report Both the US and China have structural imbalances that need correcting. The former has a structurally imbalanced labour market in which demand far outstrips supply. The latter has a massively overvalued housing market. The concurrent…
    The latest US and Eurozone CPI inflation releases both surprised to the downside, fueling optimism among investors that central banks will soon pivot. However, US labor market dynamics remain very tight. The November…
In this Strategy Outlook, we present the major investment themes and views we see playing out next year and beyond.
The pandemic gave older Americans and Brits a massive carrot and stick to retire early. The carrot being a surge in wealth, the stick being a risk to health. In other major economies, the carrots and sticks were smaller or non-…
Special Report Investors should maintain a conservative and defensive strategy until recession risks are clearly reduced.
Special Report This week we present six key investment views for 2023.
Crypto broker FTX’s bankruptcy does not pose a systemic threat to markets. It did reveal something deeply unflattering about excess liquidity, however, and suggests that other private investments may come a cropper.