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Inflation/Deflation

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for February 2024.

Indonesia will not revert to dictatorship. Yet the guardrails against authoritarianism are also constraining the actions of the next government in tackling near term domestic and regional challenges. For long-term positioning, use potential selloff from a “dictatorship scare” to build position as structural outlook for Indonesia is positive due to the China-West divorce and the global energy transition.

January Survey Results: Invincible…
Treasury Selloff Continues…
Sweden Riksbank Monitor Update…
US Economic Surprises Are Rising Again…

Our thoughts on bond positioning following this morning’s employment data.

BoE Needs More Evidence Inflation's Heading To Target…
Near-Identical Rate Cuts In The G7 Is A Mispricing…

In this Insight, we share our thoughts on yesterday’s FOMC meeting and the Fed’s likely next moves, with implications for US bond strategy.