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Inflation/Deflation

In this Insight, we speculate on the outlook for the CHF.

US Retail Sales Slump: Signal Or Noise…
More Signs Of Overheating…
Tame Headline Inflation... For Now…

Over the next six months, the deterioration in non-US growth will occur earlier and be more pronounced than in the US. This expectation reinforces our confidence to bet on the strength of the US dollar. As usual, the flip side of the US dollar strength will be weakness in EM risk assets.

Improving UK Growth Momentum Could Delay A BoE Pivot…
No Inflationary Pressures From Grain Prices…

Comments on yesterday’s CPI report and yield moves.

Not Cool Enough Not Cool…
Pessimism Dominates Among US Small Business Owners…