Inflation/Deflation
Real PCE Softer Than Expected In June…
A “More Accommodative Than Stimulative” PBoC…
Oil markets will not be impacted by Venezuela in the near term, but by shocks from the Middle East. Maduro’s ability to stay in power in the short-term removes an avenue of oil supply relief. The same avenue is cut off if Trump is reelected. Geopolitical shocks in Venezuela could present tactical buying opportunities for Chile, Peru, and Colombia.
The BoC Dove Soars
The BoC…
UK Services Inflation Still Too High For BoE's Comfort…
As Trump’s victory odds rise, the underperformance of European equities deepens. How negative would a global trade war be for European assets?
What’s Ailing ASEAN Markets…
Smaller LEI Contraction Doesn't Eliminate US Recession Risk…
Don't buy the dip. The equity bull market is over. The US will enter a recession in late 2024 or in early 2025.
Brazil: Resurfacing Macro Demons…