Highlights Hong Kong property prices are frothy and will continue to face headwinds. Real estate currently offers a poor risk-return trade off from an investment perspective, and will likely lag other asset classes in the medium to…
Highlights Our "fair value" models incorporate prevailing domestic risk-free interest rates and long-term earnings, which provide an assessment on market valuation levels from a historical perspective. Hong Kong and Chinese…
Highlights Renewed deflationary pressures indicate that the Hong Kong dollar may have once again become expensive. The currency peg will stay and domestic prices will adjust as a release valve. Developing deflationary pressures and…
Highlights Chinese fiscal stimulus, both direct fiscal spending and infrastructure investment, has slowed significantly since late last year. This raises a red flag on the sustainability of the cyclical upturn. The Chinese economy…
Highlights The Chinese authorities have progressively tightened capital account control regulations to staunch capital outflows, which will likely slow the drawdown of the country's official reserves in the near term. Rising…
Highlights Dear Client, The growth of the electric-vehicle market, particularly re its implications for hydrocarbons as the primary transportation fuel in the world, will remain a key issue for energy markets, particularly oil. The…
Hong Kong's growing political awareness and rising sensitivity to public policy underscores brewing social tensions brought about by decades of Laissez-Faire capitalism. Social policies will likely become progressively more…
If the damage of the Brexit is contained in the U.K., the direct economic impact on China should be marginal. China's relatively closed financial system makes it less exposed to global shocks than most other countries. It is too soon…