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Favor Value over Quality and non-US equities as leadership broadens and late-cycle rotations gather pace. Global equities rose 21% in 2025, but leadership shifted meaningfully. The US finished in the bottom third of regional returns, while markets such as…
Special Report

Every year, the Global Asset Allocation team compiles a list of our favorite books, essays, and articles from our strategists ahead of the holiday season. This year, we focus on writings by practitioners in the world of finance, business, and beyond. While diverse in their backgrounds, one theme stands out: Adaptation. 

Special Report

We present our five key views for global fixed income markets in 2026. A year that will see the global easing cycle come to an end.

The K-shaped economy will likely reverse in 2026, with the cyclical parts of the economy doing better. Upgrade Financials and Materials from neutral to overweight. Downgrade Communication Services and Utilities from overweight to neutral. Favor value stocks. Upgrade Bitcoin from neutral to overweight.

BCA’s 2026 outlook calls for a neutral stance on equities in multi-asset portfolios, with a bias toward downgrades as US labor market softness persists. The coming year will clarify whether falling labor demand pushes the US into recession, and whether the AI…

Today, we are sending you the BCA annual outlook for 2026. The report is an edited transcript of our recent conversation with Mr. X and his daughter Ms. X, who are long-time BCA clients. Our discussion featured BCA’s economic and financial market outlook for the year ahead.

Platinum and palladium’s explosive year-to-date surges have stalled over the past month; their short-term outlook depends on broader risk sentiment. The two metals are down 10% and 13% respectively from their October 16 peaks.  Importantly, these moves…
Gold remains a superior hedge asset to bitcoin during global risk-off periods. Both assets have rallied strongly this year, reaching new all-time highs as beneficiaries of the dubbed “debasement trade,” reflecting investor demand for alternatives to fiat…
The latest BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey reaffirms the US dollar’s dominance in global FX markets, highlighting the structural challenges of truly moving away from the USD-centric financial system. The survey conducted in April 2025 reported total…
AI-related trade and frontloading lifted global trade growth in 2025 but also increased the risk of a slowdown next year, according to the WTO’s latest Global Trade Outlook. The organization sharply revised up its forecast for 2025 merchandise trade volume…