BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy and US Equity Strategy services conclude that a Democratic sweep would not prevent the stock market from grinding higher over the 12 months after the election. Volatility…
BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service's quantitative US election model suggests President Trump has a 44% chance of re-election. This presents a risk to our formal subjective view that he has a 35% chance. We…
Highlights The bull market in US-Iran tensions was never resolved, and now a series of suspicious explosions in Iran raises the possibility that tensions will re-escalate. Iran’s interest lies in waiting out Trump so that a…
Feature Over the last several years when I travelled to Europe, I would meet with Ms. Mea, an outspoken client of the Emerging Markets Strategy service. We have published our conversations with Ms. Mea in the past and this semi-annual…
BCA Research's Global ETF Strategy service concludes that a resurgence of geopolitical uncertainty casts a shadow on the short-term outlook for risk assets’ continued recovery. Our Geopolitical Strategy team…
Dear Client, In lieu of our regular report next week, I will present our view on China’s economic recovery, geopolitical risks, and implications on financial markets in two live webcasts. The webcasts will take place next Wednesday…
Investors do not need to wait for the US election verdict to assess the general trajectory of US-Russia relations, according to a Special Report released on Friday by BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy and Emerging…
Highlights A clear U-turn in markets could make investors more conscious of losses, making them likely to sell. Hence, the fear-of-missing-out (FOMO) rally could turn into a fear-of-losing-out, or FOLO selloff. The P/E ratio is…